Notas diárias sobre mercado, geopolítica e investimentos.
Thursday, August 20, 2026 U.S. FIRST — TREASURY BUYS TIME ON LONG-TERM RATES The Treasury’s response to the surge in long-term yields stole the spotlight on Wednesday and provided relief to global markets, but it does not eliminate uncertainty over the path of interest rates. The…
Friday, August 7, 2026 Oil Overshadows U.S. Jobs Report as Geopolitical Risks Return U.S. & Global Markets Oil Takes Center Stage Again After just two days of relief, the conflict between the United States and Iran has once again become the dominant driver of global markets, push…
Market Summary – Thursday, August 6, 2026 🇺🇸 United States & Global Markets 📊 Markets Await Friday's Payroll Report Investor attention has shifted to Friday's U.S. Nonfarm Payroll, following yesterday's weaker-than-expected ADP report. ADP employment: +44,000 jobs in July (vs…
Tuesday, August 4, 2026 – Market Summary Oil Rebounds, Focus Shifts to the Copom Meeting and Earnings After Monday’s sharp selloff, oil prices recovered part of their losses as conflicting reports emerged over negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Markets remain highly sen…
Market Summary – Monday, July 20, 2026 Markets begin the week focused on the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict, which pushed Brent crude above $90 per barrel, reigniting inflation concerns and raising doubts about future interest rate cuts by both the Federal Reserve and Brazil's Cop…
🇺🇸 U.S. Summary Geopolitical tensions escalated further as the conflict between the U.S. and Iran intensified, driving Brent crude back toward $85 per barrel and raising concerns that a sustained geopolitical risk premium is returning to energy markets. Investors are increasin…
Market Summary – Wednesday, July 15, 2026 🌎 Global Markets U.S. inflation (CPI) came in softer than expected, boosting risk appetite and reducing expectations of a near-term Fed rate hike. However, the Middle East conflict remains the market's biggest concern, keeping oil pric…
Markets Brace for CPI, Fed Chair Warsh, Bank Earnings, and Rising Middle East Tensions U.S. Summary Global markets entered "Super Tuesday" under pressure as geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated significantly. Investor concerns shifted from diplomatic threats…
U.S. Summary Markets ended the week with a more constructive tone as investors increasingly bet that diplomacy will ultimately prevail over a prolonged military conflict between the United States and Iran. Reports that Qatar and Pakistan are mediating renewed negotiations between…
Market Summary – Thursday, July 9, 2026 🇺🇸 United States Middle East tensions dominate markets: Following fresh U.S. airstrikes on Iran, investors are focused on whether the conflict will escalate into a broader regional war or ultimately push Tehran back to the negotiating ta…
Market Summary – Wednesday, July 8, 2026 🇺🇸 United States Geopolitics returns to the forefront: Fresh attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz reignited concerns over the fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The U.S. revoked Iran's temporary oil export license and launche…
Market Summary – Tuesday, July 7, 2026 🇺🇸 United States Markets shift away from geopolitics: Despite new tensions involving Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices continued to fall as investors focused on increasing global supply rather than geopolitical headlines. Fed take…
🇺🇸 U.S. Market Summary - June6th Oil prices are under pressure after OPEC+ confirmed a fourth consecutive production increase, adding 188,000 barrels per day starting in August. With the Strait of Hormuz operating normally again, geopolitical risk premiums continue to fade.…
ADP, Payroll, and the Fed Take Center Stage With Brazil's weaker-than-expected May employment data reinforcing expectations of another Selic rate cut in August, and oil prices retreating to pre-conflict levels, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are no longer the primary ma…
Market Summary – Tuesday, June 30, 2026 Markets continue to move past Middle East tensions and refocus on economic fundamentals. Although oil prices rebounded modestly after last week's nearly 10% decline, investors remain confident that the disruption to global supply will be te…
Market Summary – Monday, June 29, 2026 Markets are shifting their focus away from geopolitics and back toward U.S. economic data. Although the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran remains fragile—with both sides exchanging attacks over the weekend—the key difference is that the St…
The main focus for U.S. markets on Friday was the combination of inflation data and economic growth. The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, came in slightly softer than expected in May. Headline PCE rose 0.4% month-over…
US Market & Economy Summary — June 25, 2026 Key Focus: PCE Inflation and GDP Data The biggest event for U.S. markets today is the release of the May PCE inflation report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, along with the final Q1 GDP reading. Market expectations: C…
US-Focused Summary (June 24, 2026) 1. Middle East tensions are easing, which is bullish for markets The biggest macro development for U.S. investors remains the progress in negotiations between the U.S. and Iran. The market increasingly believes the peace framework negotiated in…
US Market & Fed Summary — June 17, 2026 Fed Decision in Focus The Federal Reserve is expected to hold interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% today. This is the first FOMC meeting led by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, making his press conference the key event for markets. Investors will closely…
Tuesday, June 16, 2026 Markets continued to rally after the U.S.-Iran agreement gained momentum. U.S. officials confirmed that the memorandum has already been electronically signed, with a formal signing ceremony expected Friday in Geneva. The deal includes a 60-day ceasefire, th…
Markets rallied Thursday after Donald Trump unexpectedly signaled that a deal with Iran may be close, easing fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East. Earlier in the day, Trump had threatened new attacks, but later announced that military action was being suspended and said…
Here’s a natural Reddit-style summary that sounds like it was written by an investor following the market, not an AI-generated recap: The big story today is that inflation wasn’t the problem — the Middle East was. US CPI came in pretty much as expected. Inflation is still well ab…
📈 Market Summary – June 10, 2026 U.S. CPI Takes Center Stage and Could Drive Global Markets Today's key event is the release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30 AM ET. After last week's stronger-than-expected payroll report confirmed the resilience of the U.S. economy…
Wednesday, May 27, 2026. 🌍 International Scenario and Geopolitics Interest rates buy war: The truce in the Middle East suffered a setback following "self-defense" strikes by the US against Iranian missile launchers and vessels in the Gulf. Tehran accused Washington of violating…