Orion Group Holdings Inc — AI technical analysis, September 2026
NYSE/NASDAQ · Construction
AI Recommendation
HOLD
Technical score 70/100
Last price: $9.06 · 52W range $7.48 – $17.40
Short answer
Should you buy ORN right now? Stockgaide's AI rates ORN as
HOLD, with a technical score of
70/100 at a last price of $9.06.
The 50-day average is below the 200-day average, and RSI sits at 48.3.
Wall Street's consensus rating is 1.91/5.
Full AI analysis for ORN
Strategic Conclusion
Recommendation: Hold
Why? The stock is trading well below its 50- and 200-day moving averages, confirming a medium-term downtrend, while the extreme P/E of 105x leaves no valuation support. However, RSI is neutral and MACD has turned above its signal line, suggesting the selling pressure may be easing. Without analyst coverage or a clear catalyst, the risk/reward is balanced.
Ideal profile: Long-term investor waiting for a trend reversal; short-term traders should stay out until price reclaims the 50-day SMA.
Price range: Entry zone $8.50–$9.00 (near 52-week low support) with a stop-loss below $7.40; upside resistance at $10.94 (SMA50) and then $12.10 (SMA200).
Practical action: Do not initiate new positions now. Wait for a close above $10.94 to confirm momentum shift, or buy only on a pullback toward $8.50–$9.00 with tight risk control. Existing holders can hold but should reduce if price breaks below $7.48.
1. Recent Price & Momentum
Current price $9.36 is 46% below the 52-week high ($17.40) and 25% above the 52-week low ($7.48) — clearly in the lower half of the range, closer to the bottom.
The stock is in a sideways-to-weak phase, having failed to sustain rallies. Short-term scenarios: a bounce toward $10.94 (SMA50) is possible given neutral RSI, but a break below $7.48 would open further downside.
2. Valuation (P/E)
P/E TTM of 105.2 is extremely expensive — more than 3x the typical US market multiple and far above any reasonable sector average for a construction/marine services company.
The price already reflects aggressive future growth expectations. With a market cap of only $0.38B, any earnings miss could trigger a sharp de-rating. Valuation offers no margin of safety.
3. Technical Analysis
SMA50 ($10.94) is below SMA200 ($12.10) — a bearish "death cross" structure, confirming medium-term downtrend pressure.
RSI(14) at 51.8 is neutral, indicating no overbought or oversold condition.
MACD (-0.47) is above its signal line (-0.60) with a positive histogram (0.13) — early signs of bullish momentum, but still in negative territory.
Technical score: 45/100 → HOLD. The mix of downtrend structure and improving momentum nets out to a neutral stance.
4. Analyst Consensus
Analyst consensus: NOT AVAILABLE for this ticker. There is no analyst coverage data to compare with the technicals. The absence of coverage means the stock is under-followed, increasing uncertainty and reducing the reliability of any fundamental outlook. Technicals are the only guide, and they point to a hold until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
Technical signal details
Rule-based read from price and momentum indicators only — the score behind the AI's recommendation above. Technical score: 70/100 (BUY).
50-day moving average is below the 200-day — medium-term downtrend pressure.
MACD is above its signal line — bullish momentum.
RSI at 48.31 — neutral momentum.
Wall Street consensus rating of 1.91 — analysts lean Buy.
Stockgaide's AI currently rates ORN as HOLD, with a technical score of 70 out of 100 at a last price of $9.06. This is educational content, not investment advice.
Is ORN in an uptrend?
ORN's 50-day moving average (10.83) is below its 200-day moving average (12.09), which points to a medium-term downtrend.
What is ORN's RSI today?
ORN has a 14-day RSI of 48.3, which places it in neutral territory (above 70 is overbought, below 30 is oversold).
What do analysts say about ORN?
Wall Street analysts covering ORN have a consensus rating of 1.91 out of 5 (1 = Strong Buy), meaning they lean Buy — 10 Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell.
Where is ORN trading in its 52-week range?
ORN last traded at $9.06, against a 52-week range of $7.48 to $17.40 — about 16% of the way up that range.
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